and that the sediment load has remained constant during the
past approxi...m"tely 100 years. Because the SAR is almost
identical to the eustatic SLR, any progressive rise in the sea
level, consequent to increasing global warming, could ad-
versely affect this region. Such a disaster could happen if the
trend of the past
10
years is sustained in acceleration in the
rate of sea-level rise to 3.2 :2: 0.4
mmig,
as indicated by the
TopexIPoseidon and Jason Satellite altimetry radar measure-
ments (http://sealevel.colorado.edu, as cited in MOTYKA et al.,
2006;
NEREM,
2005).
Because the RSL will vary fi'om one area to another, the
intention of tlus paper is to contribute to a better understand-
ing of the effect of rising sea level near the highly populated
city of Rio de Janeiro. The use of SAR in mangrove forests as
a proxy for past sea-level variations will aid in understanding
the effect of an accelerating SLR This RSL-mangrove sedi-
mentation relationship could be applied over as much as two-
thirds of the Brazilian coast, which, for the most part, is de-
ficient in recent SLR data. In addition, tlus approach would
be useful in many tropical areas, in that approximately 75%
of the ·....arld's coastline between latitudes 25°N and 25°S are
dominated by mangrove forests.
We would like to aclmowledge the Instituto de Radiopro-
tecao e Dosimetria (IRD) for supplying a certified radionu-
elide cocktail used to calibrate the gamma ray detector and
Luciana Sanders for help in laboratory and field work. This
work was funded by the Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvi-
mento Cientitico e Tecnol6gico (CNPq), Brazil, and Fulbright
support to J.M.S.
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